spread
Covid-19. The Global Pandemic, a drama that began with a very complex mystery and is now difficult for some to understand or even believe. But it is a reality that has confined countries and the whole world, and confused dreams and plans, and became the obsession of many, and prayers for those affected. It came to change the paths and approaches of scientists and lead them to deepen thinking in order to overcome, or rather, to control it. With this pandemic, many phrases and terms that we are now hearing and accustomed to have appeared, such as: “Stay home”, “community distancing”, “peace with an eye and a look”, and “do not shake hands”!
Flattening the injury curve
Why does a person lock himself at home? And for how long? How is social distancing? Why don''t we shake hands? How can peace be seen? Dr. Elham Talaat Kattan, professor of pathogenic and molecular viruses at Taibah University, answers these questions, and explains that it is difficult for many of us to lose intimacy and hugs in our family and community relationships, especially as we are peoples who educate us on the physical behavior to express our feelings and communicate between us. But moving to the new world is leading us to deepen thought and take more care of our families, our loved ones and our families. We are all responsible for our reactions in commitment and keenness to understand the true meaning and dimension of the epidemic and spread of this disease.
What is "flattening the curve"? We must know how to control the epidemic by pushing it towards receding, not by spreading. This is done by "flattening its curve flattening" to help us overcome it and eliminate it. Dr. Elham Kattan says that flattening the curve or flattening the curve is a new term for some people, as it began to appear with this disease in many circles and scientific fields. Before we explain this curve, it would be better to understand how it applies to the spread of this virus, COVID-19 - between populations and societies. If we draw the number of injuries on the graph in the attached figure (1), we will find that it will not rise in a straight diagonal line when left without controls (without interference), that is, if we do not do enough to prevent new injuries, which are (preventive precautionary measures) and thus the rate New cases will increase dramatically and continuously, especially with communication and community contact every day and every hour.
And when we use the term "curve", it is scientifically most likely to refer to the progressive increase of infection as indicated in Figure (1) and this upward increase will be in the continuous increase as the worst possible if countries do not put in place a mechanism to prevent this increase and prevent new infections or Rather, "spread" by interfering with the application of precautionary measures At that time, “flattening the curve” refers to keeping the number of new cases on a lower and more predictable path.
Corona sequence How do the numbers of infected people increase? Slight differences in the rate of transmission of HIV infection can lead to large differences in the overall numbers of coronavirus infections. If the infection rate is between 1.3 and 3.5 people, that is, one person can transmit the disease to (1.3 3.5) other people, respectively. If (4) people are infected with Coronavirus and the infection rate is (1.5) people, they will transmit the disease to (6) others, and these six will transmit the disease to (9) people. If the infection rate is (3.5), then here (4) people will transmit the disease to (14) people, and these in turn transmit the disease to 49 others, and so on.
Health care system
Dr. Elham Kattan answers: It is a very important question, and some of the complainants will answer them very simply as follows: If the disease will reach us in the end, then why not get it from now and finish it!
As for the vast majority, the answer to this question will differ, and the matter and questions will be related to health care systems and systems, and will it have the ability to deal with a certain number of patients only! Or is it the opposite of its ability?
The ability to absorb a lot of patients, and the formation of the hypothesis of an increase in capacity and spread, means that it will inevitably go towards deportation, or a shortage in supply, as is the case with what we saw in Italy, Spain and some other countries, so the cases accumulated in them in addition to many of them, including Elderly people are at great risk of the health consequences of death.
Treating severe cases is something that doctors do all over the world, and of course it is their duty, but when there are not too many hospitals, and there are not enough beds in those hospitals to monitor patients, not to mention the fluctuation of supply lines with the increase in the possibility of infection for medical teams, then The flattening curve is very important.
Even in countries that have not been able to stop the spread of this epidemic and this pandemic, as a result of several factors, including the search for treatment or the search for a vaccine, which will inevitably take a not easy time, slowing the rate of infection of people in their societies and working to reduce the number to a minimum is the solution that I sought Community health care systems in order to deter this virus and in the enactment of preventive measures to prohibit and separate the community, with priority given to dealing with infected patients first and individually, and then providing care for everyone second. To clarify more, Dr. Elham Kattan adds that in the scenario of this pandemic, as a whole, we cannot definitively control the frequency of the virus outbreak, and therefore many and many people will suffer from more serious health consequences that will inevitably lead to more deaths.
Here another question arises: What would happen if we slowed the rate at which this infection occurred and this spread? Dr. Elham Kattan answers that the expected increase is the number of people who will get the help they need. Even if the scenarios infected the same number of people, a slow rate of infection would save more lives and make patients healthy faster.
What can be done to help flatten the curve? Dr. Kattan praised the measures agreed upon by the countries, and the Kingdom was one of them. She even considers the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia the most keen to implement the precautionary measures in a way that serves the interest of the citizen and resident in the Kingdom in the first place and then humanity as a whole. This is evident from the following: The ministries, led by the Ministry of Health, have directed to strictly apply preventive precautions, directing to prohibit areas, home isolation, social distancing, and preventing exposure to major overcrowding, directing work from home if this is available, and generally staying indoors with sterilization and control initiatives. Preventive. These strict scientific trends are of great importance in the action plan to reverse the virus and reverse its spread.
Handling of cases
If a person becomes infected, the two options available upon notification are quarantine or hospitalization.
If the case is of a young age group and her general health condition is good and she enjoys high immunity, then the possible option here is to isolate her at home and it is more beneficial for her after reporting, and this does not mean that she can move freely, this should not be at all to prevent the spread of infection, so she must stay in Inside until it is completely cured and negative results for the virus appear.
It is useful to perform an antibody analysis, as well, for contacts and cured cases to ensure that the infection does not return.
Taking preventive measures, including the steps and stages of the ban and the emphasis on domestic isolation, which were announced by health organizations of all countries and the Saudi Ministry of Health in particular, ensure that the infection does not spread to more people, and therefore it will be useful for everyone to follow this and take care of it until the time when the resumption is authorized A routine of life for all of us is safer and more natural. There is no harm in staying inside our homes for several more weeks, as it is first and foremost for our benefit and protection and our families as a whole.
According to the spokesperson for the Ministry of Health, Dr.Muhammad Al-Abd Al-Aali, about the expected period for the disappearance of the new Corona virus (Covid-19) from the Kingdom: It is customary for such viruses in the world to talk about several months to contain them, but the precautions that are applied vary in time period. Its impact on the curve varies, in addition to the developments that occur. And whenever we adhere to the instructions and healthy behaviors, we will walk on a known and studied curve, and we will be on the best curves, and this depends on our commitment.
In conclusion, we remind everyone of the important recommendations for preventing the virus Health behaviors, especially washing hands continuously, and social distancing, by which we mean that there should always be distances between us and each other, staying at home as much as possible, keeping away from any presence outside the home except for the most urgent necessity, not listening to any rumors, and obtaining information about a pandemic Coronavirus, inquiries and advice through official channels, via the Ministry of Health’s call center, “937” around the clock, or through the “appointment” application for self-assessment.
